News
SCMPChina-EU trade, Xi touts ‘global influence’, Nato summit·Bank of JapanOutput Gap, Potential Growth Rate, and Labor Market Indicators·Economic TimesSensex jumps 262 points, Nifty closes above 24,270. 7 key factors behind today's D-Street gains·NYTLatest Jobs Report Shows Labor Market Is Not a Source of Inflationary Pressure·NYTWhy the Jobs Market Has Wall Street and Washington on Edge·Bank of JapanJapanese Government Bonds Held by the Bank of Japan·BBCDiesel sees biggest monthly fall in 26 years. What's happening to fuel prices?·NYTFed’s Warsh Says Inflation Poses Less Risk Than a Few Weeks Ago·SCMPChina-EU trade, Xi touts ‘global influence’, Nato summit·Bank of JapanOutput Gap, Potential Growth Rate, and Labor Market Indicators·Economic TimesSensex jumps 262 points, Nifty closes above 24,270. 7 key factors behind today's D-Street gains·NYTLatest Jobs Report Shows Labor Market Is Not a Source of Inflationary Pressure·NYTWhy the Jobs Market Has Wall Street and Washington on Edge·Bank of JapanJapanese Government Bonds Held by the Bank of Japan·BBCDiesel sees biggest monthly fall in 26 years. What's happening to fuel prices?·NYTFed’s Warsh Says Inflation Poses Less Risk Than a Few Weeks Ago·
← Back to Intelligence Dashboard

Tajikistan

Tajikistani Somoni (TJS)

41
Moderate
Risk
#43
of 171
Riskier
than 75% of currencies
36
global avg score
$747
$1,000 in 5 years
Impact on Citizens

Citizens need to earn at least 7.5% per year on savings to stay ahead. Money sitting in a regular account is slowly losing value.See savings calculator ↓

Economic Indicators

Inflation Rate
6.0%
Debt to GDP
79.8%
GDP Growth
8.4%
Broad Money / GDP
29.8%

Banking & Stability

NPL Ratio
13.7%
Reserve Months
5.7
Current Account
17.1%
FX Volatility
15.8

Governance & Markets

Rule of Law
-1.1
Black Market Premium
Not available
Capital Controls
72.0
Peg Fragility
Not available

Currency Structure

Global Currency Role
70.0
FX Regime
managed float
Data Coverage
83.0%

Savings Impact Calculator

TJS
Holding cash in TJS6.0% inflation
TJS 747−TJS 253 (25% purchasing power lost)
Your TJS 1,000 buys 25% less in 5 years
What if you invested TJS 1,000 instead? (5yr, in TJS terms)
USD-denominated assets gain an additional ~3.0%/yr from expected TJS depreciation vs USD
Hold USD Cash
TJS 1000
+TJS 0
+0.0%/yr net in TJS
S&P 500
TJS 1843
+TJS 843
range: TJS 859–TJS 3573
10% USD return + 3.0% FX · ±16% vol
Gold
TJS 1685
+TJS 685
range: TJS 499–TJS 4485
8% USD return + 3.0% FX · ±24% vol
Bitcoin
TJS 3437
+TJS 2437
range: TJS 222–TJS 20.0k
25% USD return + 3.0% FX · ±54% vol

All values in TJS. USD-denominated assets (S&P 500, Gold, Bitcoin) include an estimated FX gain of ~3.0%/yr based on the inflation differential between Tajikistan (6.0%) and the US (~3%). This uses purchasing power parity as a long-run approximation — actual FX movements can differ significantly in the short term. S&P 500 based on 1957-2024, Gold on 2000-2024, Bitcoin on 2015-2024. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

Data last updated: 2026-07-03

Note: World Bank does not cover this country directly. Data sourced from national statistics and IMF estimates.

Intelligence Dashboard →