Methodology
How we score the risk of every fiat currency on earth.
How it works
Every currency receives a composite risk score from 0 to 100. Higher scores mean the currency is more likely to lose value and purchasing power. The score is computed from 12 weighted factors covering economic health, banking stability, governance quality, currency structure, capital controls, and market signals.
Critically, countries that don't report data are penalized, not rewarded. A 10% data opacity penalty ensures that opaque economies (which tend to be the riskiest) can't hide behind missing numbers.
Risk levels
Low
0–24
Stable currency, strong institutions
Moderate
25–49
Some concerns, worth monitoring
High
50–74
Significant stress, erosion likely
Critical
75–100
Severe risk, rapid value loss
Trend direction
Each country shows a trend arrow (↗ improving, ↘ worsening, → stable) computed from year-over-year changes in inflation and debt-to-GDP:
- Worsening: Inflation up >2 percentage points OR debt/GDP up >5 percentage points
- Improving: Inflation down >2pp OR debt/GDP down >5pp
- Stable: Neither threshold crossed