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NYTThe Powerful Yet Fragile Force Propping Up Stocks and the Economy·NYTTariffs Are Making Instruments So Expensive, School Music Programs Are at Risk·Al Jazeera‘They are crying’: Refugees in Malaysia in fear amid Myanmar deportation·France 24France unveils cost-cutting budget amid protests·Bank of JapanJapanese Government Bonds Held by the Bank of Japan·BBCLorry training firm 'riding out' record diesel price·Al JazeeraIran urges Iraq to lift flight ban amid US sanctions·SCMPPhilippines’ jeepney drivers ‘stuck between a rock and a hard place’ despite fare increase·NYTThe Powerful Yet Fragile Force Propping Up Stocks and the Economy·NYTTariffs Are Making Instruments So Expensive, School Music Programs Are at Risk·Al Jazeera‘They are crying’: Refugees in Malaysia in fear amid Myanmar deportation·France 24France unveils cost-cutting budget amid protests·Bank of JapanJapanese Government Bonds Held by the Bank of Japan·BBCLorry training firm 'riding out' record diesel price·Al JazeeraIran urges Iraq to lift flight ban amid US sanctions·SCMPPhilippines’ jeepney drivers ‘stuck between a rock and a hard place’ despite fare increase·
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CUP

Cuban Peso

CUP · Cuba

67
High
Risk
What does this mean for you?

The Cuban Peso is under significant pressure, scoring 67 out of 100. This isn't a crisis yet, but things are moving in the wrong direction. If you're saving in this currency, you need to be paying attention — your purchasing power is being eroded.

Your savings need 25.5%/yr returns to not lose value. CUP100 today → CUP81 next year. Calculator ↓

Inflation
24.0%
Debt / GDP
Not available
GDP Growth
-1.1%
FX Volatility
47.0
Governance
-1.7
Reserves
Not available
Analysis
What's working well
Limited positive signals
What to watch out for
The official exchange rate doesn't match what people actually pay (300% gap)
Restrictions on moving your money out of the country
The currency has been swinging wildly — hard to plan ahead
Full Cuba analysis →

Savings Impact Calculator

CUP
Holding cash in CUP24.0% inflation
CUP 341−CUP 659 (66% purchasing power lost)
Your CUP 1,000 buys 66% less in 5 years
What if you invested CUP 1,000 instead? (5yr, in CUP terms)
USD-denominated assets gain an additional ~21.0%/yr from expected CUP depreciation vs USD
Hold USD Cash
CUP 2288
+CUP 1288
+18.0%/yr net in CUP
S&P 500
CUP 3858
+CUP 2858
range: CUP 2011–CUP 6864
10% USD return + 21.0% FX · ±16% vol
Gold
CUP 3572
+CUP 2572
range: CUP 1276–CUP 8384
8% USD return + 21.0% FX · ±24% vol
Bitcoin
CUP 6634
+CUP 5634
range: CUP 659–CUP 32.0k
25% USD return + 21.0% FX · ±54% vol

All values in CUP. USD-denominated assets (S&P 500, Gold, Bitcoin) include an estimated FX gain of ~21.0%/yr based on the inflation differential between Cuba (24.0%) and the US (~3%). This uses purchasing power parity as a long-run approximation — actual FX movements can differ significantly in the short term. S&P 500 based on 1957-2024, Gold on 2000-2024, Bitcoin on 2015-2024. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

Holding other assets too? Calculate your full portfolio risk →

Recent News

All news →
BBCOct 1
The wealthy Cuban Americans ready and waiting for Havana to fall
This score is based on our 12-factor risk model. Think inflation or debt should matter more? Build your own model with custom weights and see how CUP ranks differently.
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