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CUP

Cuban Peso

CUP · Cuba

68
High
Risk
What does this mean for you?

The Cuban Peso is under significant pressure, scoring 68 out of 100. This isn't a crisis yet, but things are moving in the wrong direction. If you're saving in this currency, you need to be paying attention — your purchasing power is being eroded.

Your savings need 25.5%/yr returns to not lose value. CUP100 today → CUP81 next year. Calculator ↓

Inflation
24.0%
Debt / GDP
Not available
GDP Growth
-1.1%
FX Volatility
52.2
Governance
-1.7
Reserves
Not available
Analysis
What's working well
Limited positive signals
What to watch out for
The official exchange rate doesn't match what people actually pay (300% gap)
Restrictions on moving your money out of the country
The currency has been swinging wildly — hard to plan ahead
Full Cuba analysis →

Savings Impact Calculator

CUP
Holding cash in CUP24.0% inflation
CUP 341−CUP 659 (66% purchasing power lost)
Your CUP 1,000 buys 66% less in 5 years
What if you invested CUP 1,000 instead? (5yr, in CUP terms)
USD-denominated assets gain an additional ~21.0%/yr from expected CUP depreciation vs USD
Hold USD Cash
CUP 2288
+CUP 1288
+18.0%/yr net in CUP
S&P 500
CUP 3858
+CUP 2858
range: CUP 2011–CUP 6864
10% USD return + 21.0% FX · ±16% vol
Gold
CUP 3572
+CUP 2572
range: CUP 1276–CUP 8384
8% USD return + 21.0% FX · ±24% vol
Bitcoin
CUP 6634
+CUP 5634
range: CUP 659–CUP 32.0k
25% USD return + 21.0% FX · ±54% vol

All values in CUP. USD-denominated assets (S&P 500, Gold, Bitcoin) include an estimated FX gain of ~21.0%/yr based on the inflation differential between Cuba (24.0%) and the US (~3%). This uses purchasing power parity as a long-run approximation — actual FX movements can differ significantly in the short term. S&P 500 based on 1957-2024, Gold on 2000-2024, Bitcoin on 2015-2024. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

Holding other assets too? Calculate your full portfolio risk →
This score is based on our 12-factor risk model. Think inflation or debt should matter more? Build your own model with custom weights and see how CUP ranks differently.
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