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NYTThe Powerful Yet Fragile Force Propping Up Stocks and the Economy·NYTTariffs Are Making Instruments So Expensive, School Music Programs Are at Risk·Al Jazeera‘They are crying’: Refugees in Malaysia in fear amid Myanmar deportation·France 24France unveils cost-cutting budget amid protests·Bank of JapanJapanese Government Bonds Held by the Bank of Japan·BBCLorry training firm 'riding out' record diesel price·Al JazeeraIran urges Iraq to lift flight ban amid US sanctions·SCMPPhilippines’ jeepney drivers ‘stuck between a rock and a hard place’ despite fare increase·NYTThe Powerful Yet Fragile Force Propping Up Stocks and the Economy·NYTTariffs Are Making Instruments So Expensive, School Music Programs Are at Risk·Al Jazeera‘They are crying’: Refugees in Malaysia in fear amid Myanmar deportation·France 24France unveils cost-cutting budget amid protests·Bank of JapanJapanese Government Bonds Held by the Bank of Japan·BBCLorry training firm 'riding out' record diesel price·Al JazeeraIran urges Iraq to lift flight ban amid US sanctions·SCMPPhilippines’ jeepney drivers ‘stuck between a rock and a hard place’ despite fare increase·
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LBP

Lebanese Pound

LBP · Lebanon

59
High
Risk
Historical Scores
566675Jul 2021Jul 2023Oct 2026
What does this mean for you?

The Lebanese Pound is under significant pressure, scoring 59 out of 100. This isn't a crisis yet, but things are moving in the wrong direction. If you're saving in this currency, you need to be paying attention — your purchasing power is being eroded.

Your savings need 16.1%/yr returns to not lose value. LBP100 today → LBP87 next year. Calculator ↓

Inflation
14.6%
Debt / GDP
128.6%
GDP Growth
-7.1%
FX Volatility
0.7
Governance
-1.1
Reserves
13.6 mo
Analysis
What's working well
Healthy foreign currency reserves as a safety net
What to watch out for
The official exchange rate doesn't match what people actually pay (90% gap)
Restrictions on moving your money out of the country
Banks are struggling — 15% of loans aren't being repaid
Full Lebanon analysis →

Savings Impact Calculator

LBP
Holding cash in LBP14.6% inflation
LBP 506−LBP 494 (49% purchasing power lost)
Your LBP 1,000 buys 49% less in 5 years
What if you invested LBP 1,000 instead? (5yr, in LBP terms)
USD-denominated assets gain an additional ~11.6%/yr from expected LBP depreciation vs USD
Hold USD Cash
LBP 1510
+LBP 510
+8.6%/yr net in LBP
S&P 500
LBP 2658
+LBP 1658
range: LBP 1313–LBP 4932
10% USD return + 11.6% FX · ±16% vol
Gold
LBP 2447
+LBP 1447
range: LBP 798–LBP 6106
8% USD return + 11.6% FX · ±24% vol
Bitcoin
LBP 4756
+LBP 3756
range: LBP 384–LBP 25.2k
25% USD return + 11.6% FX · ±54% vol

All values in LBP. USD-denominated assets (S&P 500, Gold, Bitcoin) include an estimated FX gain of ~11.6%/yr based on the inflation differential between Lebanon (14.6%) and the US (~3%). This uses purchasing power parity as a long-run approximation — actual FX movements can differ significantly in the short term. S&P 500 based on 1957-2024, Gold on 2000-2024, Bitcoin on 2015-2024. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

Holding other assets too? Calculate your full portfolio risk →
This score is based on our 12-factor risk model. Think inflation or debt should matter more? Build your own model with custom weights and see how LBP ranks differently.
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