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LBP

Lebanese Pound

LBP · Lebanon

59
High
Risk
Historical Scores
566675Jul 2021Jul 2023Aug 2026
What does this mean for you?

The Lebanese Pound is under significant pressure, scoring 59 out of 100. This isn't a crisis yet, but things are moving in the wrong direction. If you're saving in this currency, you need to be paying attention — your purchasing power is being eroded.

Your savings need 16.1%/yr returns to not lose value. LBP100 today → LBP87 next year. Calculator ↓

Inflation
14.6%
Debt / GDP
128.6%
GDP Growth
-7.1%
FX Volatility
0.8
Governance
-1.1
Reserves
13.6 mo
Analysis
What's working well
Healthy foreign currency reserves as a safety net
What to watch out for
The official exchange rate doesn't match what people actually pay (90% gap)
Restrictions on moving your money out of the country
Banks are struggling — 15% of loans aren't being repaid
Full Lebanon analysis →

Savings Impact Calculator

LBP
Holding cash in LBP14.6% inflation
LBP 506−LBP 494 (49% purchasing power lost)
Your LBP 1,000 buys 49% less in 5 years
What if you invested LBP 1,000 instead? (5yr, in LBP terms)
USD-denominated assets gain an additional ~11.6%/yr from expected LBP depreciation vs USD
Hold USD Cash
LBP 1510
+LBP 510
+8.6%/yr net in LBP
S&P 500
LBP 2658
+LBP 1658
range: LBP 1313–LBP 4932
10% USD return + 11.6% FX · ±16% vol
Gold
LBP 2447
+LBP 1447
range: LBP 798–LBP 6106
8% USD return + 11.6% FX · ±24% vol
Bitcoin
LBP 4756
+LBP 3756
range: LBP 384–LBP 25.2k
25% USD return + 11.6% FX · ±54% vol

All values in LBP. USD-denominated assets (S&P 500, Gold, Bitcoin) include an estimated FX gain of ~11.6%/yr based on the inflation differential between Lebanon (14.6%) and the US (~3%). This uses purchasing power parity as a long-run approximation — actual FX movements can differ significantly in the short term. S&P 500 based on 1957-2024, Gold on 2000-2024, Bitcoin on 2015-2024. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

Holding other assets too? Calculate your full portfolio risk →
This score is based on our 12-factor risk model. Think inflation or debt should matter more? Build your own model with custom weights and see how LBP ranks differently.
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