News
NYTThe Powerful Yet Fragile Force Propping Up Stocks and the Economy·NYTTariffs Are Making Instruments So Expensive, School Music Programs Are at Risk·Al Jazeera‘They are crying’: Refugees in Malaysia in fear amid Myanmar deportation·France 24France unveils cost-cutting budget amid protests·Bank of JapanJapanese Government Bonds Held by the Bank of Japan·BBCLorry training firm 'riding out' record diesel price·Al JazeeraIran urges Iraq to lift flight ban amid US sanctions·SCMPPhilippines’ jeepney drivers ‘stuck between a rock and a hard place’ despite fare increase·NYTThe Powerful Yet Fragile Force Propping Up Stocks and the Economy·NYTTariffs Are Making Instruments So Expensive, School Music Programs Are at Risk·Al Jazeera‘They are crying’: Refugees in Malaysia in fear amid Myanmar deportation·France 24France unveils cost-cutting budget amid protests·Bank of JapanJapanese Government Bonds Held by the Bank of Japan·BBCLorry training firm 'riding out' record diesel price·Al JazeeraIran urges Iraq to lift flight ban amid US sanctions·SCMPPhilippines’ jeepney drivers ‘stuck between a rock and a hard place’ despite fare increase·
← Back to Intelligence Dashboard
🇲🇲
MMK

Myanmar Kyat

MMK · Myanmar

52
High
Risk
What does this mean for you?

The Myanmar Kyat is under significant pressure, scoring 52 out of 100. This isn't a crisis yet, but things are moving in the wrong direction. If you're saving in this currency, you need to be paying attention — your purchasing power is being eroded.

You need at least 10.3%/yr returns. Money in a basic account is slowly losing value. Calculator ↓

Inflation
8.8%
Debt / GDP
Not available
GDP Growth
-2.0%
FX Volatility
0.4
Governance
Not available
Reserves
3.3 mo
Analysis
What's working well
Limited positive signals
What to watch out for
Restrictions on moving your money out of the country
The official exchange rate doesn't match what people actually pay (50% gap)

Savings Impact Calculator

MMK
Holding cash in MMK8.8% inflation
MMK 655−MMK 345 (34% purchasing power lost)
Your MMK 1,000 buys 34% less in 5 years
What if you invested MMK 1,000 instead? (5yr, in MMK terms)
USD-denominated assets gain an additional ~5.8%/yr from expected MMK depreciation vs USD
Hold USD Cash
MMK 1149
+MMK 149
+2.8%/yr net in MMK
S&P 500
MMK 2085
+MMK 1085
range: MMK 991–MMK 3981
10% USD return + 5.8% FX · ±16% vol
Gold
MMK 1911
+MMK 911
range: MMK 585–MMK 4973
8% USD return + 5.8% FX · ±24% vol
Bitcoin
MMK 3832
+MMK 2832
range: MMK 268–MMK 21.6k
25% USD return + 5.8% FX · ±54% vol

All values in MMK. USD-denominated assets (S&P 500, Gold, Bitcoin) include an estimated FX gain of ~5.8%/yr based on the inflation differential between Myanmar (8.8%) and the US (~3%). This uses purchasing power parity as a long-run approximation — actual FX movements can differ significantly in the short term. S&P 500 based on 1957-2024, Gold on 2000-2024, Bitcoin on 2015-2024. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

Holding other assets too? Calculate your full portfolio risk →

Recent News

All news →
This score is based on our 12-factor risk model. Think inflation or debt should matter more? Build your own model with custom weights and see how MMK ranks differently.