News
BBCSwinney defends food prices policy ahead of first minister vote·Economic TimesIndia fuel price hike among world's lowest: BJP·SCMPSome Asian airlines could collapse like Spirit without help on rising fuel costs·SCMPTexans accuse Japan of doing ‘deal with the devil’ by funding US fossil fuel projects·SCMPHong Kong property upswing poised to hold despite interest rates risk: Moody’s·SCMPCuba warns of ‘bloodbath’ if US attacks as Washington expands sanctions·NYTOil Prices Climb and Bonds Falter as Iran War Raises Inflation Fears·SCMPUS extends Russian oil waiver by 30 days as Hormuz closure chokes supply·BBCSwinney defends food prices policy ahead of first minister vote·Economic TimesIndia fuel price hike among world's lowest: BJP·SCMPSome Asian airlines could collapse like Spirit without help on rising fuel costs·SCMPTexans accuse Japan of doing ‘deal with the devil’ by funding US fossil fuel projects·SCMPHong Kong property upswing poised to hold despite interest rates risk: Moody’s·SCMPCuba warns of ‘bloodbath’ if US attacks as Washington expands sanctions·NYTOil Prices Climb and Bonds Falter as Iran War Raises Inflation Fears·SCMPUS extends Russian oil waiver by 30 days as Hormuz closure chokes supply·
← Back to Intelligence Dashboard
🇷🇴
RON

Romanian Leu

RON · Romania

39
Moderate
Risk
Historical Scores
364349Jul 2021Jul 2023May 2026
What does this mean for you?

The Romanian Leu is in decent shape overall, scoring 39 out of 100. There are some areas to watch, but no immediate danger. Your money is holding its value reasonably well compared to most currencies.

You need at least 7.2%/yr returns. Money in a basic account is slowly losing value. Calculator ↓

Inflation
5.7%
Debt / GDP
Not available
GDP Growth
0.9%
FX Volatility
19.8
Governance
Not available
Reserves
4.9 mo
Analysis
What's working well
Banking system is in good shape
What to watch out for
The country is spending much more abroad than it earns — relies on foreign money flowing in
Full Romania analysis →

Savings Impact Calculator

lei
Holding cash in RON5.7% inflation
lei757−lei243 (24% purchasing power lost)
Your lei1,000 buys 24% less in 5 years
What if you invested lei1,000 instead? (5yr, in RON terms)
USD-denominated assets gain an additional ~2.7%/yr from expected RON depreciation vs USD
Hold USD Cash
lei986
−lei14
-0.3%/yr net in RON
S&P 500
lei1820
+lei820
range: lei846–lei3534
10% USD return + 2.7% FX · ±16% vol
Gold
lei1664
+lei664
range: lei490–lei4438
8% USD return + 2.7% FX · ±24% vol
Bitcoin
lei3399
+lei2399
range: lei218–lei19.8k
25% USD return + 2.7% FX · ±54% vol

All values in RON. USD-denominated assets (S&P 500, Gold, Bitcoin) include an estimated FX gain of ~2.7%/yr based on the inflation differential between Romania (5.7%) and the US (~3%). This uses purchasing power parity as a long-run approximation — actual FX movements can differ significantly in the short term. S&P 500 based on 1957-2024, Gold on 2000-2024, Bitcoin on 2015-2024. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

Holding other assets too? Calculate your full portfolio risk →
This score is based on our 12-factor risk model. Think inflation or debt should matter more? Build your own model with custom weights and see how RON ranks differently.
Intelligence DashboardCompare currenciesBuild your model